Inflation—Deflation
Fixed Money Supply- Shoes Production Decreases

Shoe Production Decreases

Shoe Production Decreases -2.00%/Month
Wheat Production Fixed 0.00%/Month
Money Supply Fixed 0.00%/Month

With these charts we see what happens when the production (and sales) of shoes declines, while wheat production and money supply remain fixed.

Inflation-Deflation

As production of shoes decreases, shoe sales also decrease. At the same time the dollar price per pair of shoes increases. The change in shoe production has no effect on the production, sales or dollar price of wheat.

With the supply of money fixed the market can read the increase in the dollar price of shoes as information that production has decreased relative to wheat.

Direct Exchange

Inflation-Deflation

As the production of shoes decreases the direct exchange prices of these two goods head in opposite directions. The decreased quantity of shoes causes their price in bushels of wheat to rise. In other words, you have to give up more bushels of wheat for each pair of shoes (the red line).

I think that you can begin to see the important information conveyed by dollar prices. They provide an indication of the pattern of behavior in the relative rate of production of goods in the market. These last two examples showing changes in the production of shoes demonstrate how dollar prices move inversely to changes in production. Production increases; dollar prices decline. Production decreases; dollar prices rise.

Let's look at changes in the production of wheat to cement that relationship.